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Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics : logical, methodological, and psychological perspectives / compil. Philip Tetlock ; co-aut. Aaron Belkin Nível de parte analítica: Counterfactuals, causation, and complexity • Counterfactual inferences as instances of statistical inferences • Psychological biases in counterfactual thought experiments • Conceptual blending and counterfactual argument in the social and behavioral sciences • Counterfactuals, past and future • Rerunning history : counterfactual simulation in world politics • Off-the-path behavior : a game-theoretic approach to counterfactuals and its implications for political and historical... • Counterfactuals and international affairs : some insights from game theory • Using counterfactuals in historical analysis : theories of revolution • Counterfactuals about war and its absence • Counterfactual reasoning in motovational analysis : u.s. policy toward iran • Back to the past : conterfactuals and the cuban missile crisis • Confronting hitler and its consequences • Counterfactual reasoning in western studies of societ politics and foreign relations • Causes and counterfactuals in social science : exploring an analogy between cellular automata and historical processes • Counterfactual thought experiments in world politics : logical, methodological, and psychological perspectivesPublicação: Princeton : Princeton University, 1996Descrição: 344 p.Disponibilidade:
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